New home sales in the United States saw a strong rebound in November, recovering from hurricane-related disruptions in the previous month. According to the Commerce Department's Census Bureau, sales of new single-family homes rose 5.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 664,000 units. This increase followed an upward revision of October's sales pace to 627,000 units, compared to the previously reported 610,000 units.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected sales to reach 660,000 units, and the latest data slightly exceeded those projections. New home sales, which account for about 15% of overall U.S. housing transactions, tend to fluctuate from month to month, making short-term trends difficult to predict. Despite the volatility, sales were up 8.7% compared to the same time last year, signaling some strength in the market.
However, rising mortgage rates continue to be a concern for both buyers and builders. Data from Freddie Mac showed that the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 6.72% last week, reversing a previous decline to 6.60%. Elevated borrowing costs have been a major hurdle for prospective homebuyers, limiting affordability and slowing the pace of home purchases.
The Federal Reserve recently lowered its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. However, the central bank signaled that it would proceed cautiously with further rate reductions in 2025, adjusting its projections to include only two expected cuts instead of the four that had been anticipated in September. This more conservative approach reflects ongoing concerns about inflation and economic stability.
Adding to the uncertainty is the potential impact of policies under President-elect Donald Trump's administration. Economists warn that proposed tariffs on imported goods, tax cuts, and immigration policies could contribute to inflationary pressures, making the Federal Reserve even more hesitant to lower interest rates aggressively. If inflation remains high, mortgage rates could stay elevated, further restraining home sales in the coming year.
While November's rebound is a positive development, the housing market faces ongoing challenges. The combination of high borrowing costs, economic policy uncertainty, and cautious central bank measures could weigh on new home sales in 2025. Builders and buyers alike will be watching closely to see how these factors unfold in the months ahead.
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