Summer 2021 Saw An Increase in Single-Family Permit Gains

 

According to the National Association of Home Builders, the first 8 months of 2021 reported 775,772 single-family permits issued year-to-date. Compared on a year-over-year basis the end of summer 2021 saw a 25.8% increase over August 2020.

All four regions of the country reported increases. The highest in the Northeast was at 29.3% and the lowest was in the Midwest at 21.6%. The remaining regions were as follows the South at 26.4% and the West at 25.7%. Multifamily was also on the rise with 33.7% in the West, 27.2% in the Northeast, 24.9% in the Midwest and 24.6% in the South.

The same goes for all 50 states and the District of Columbia which reported increases across the country. The highest was in the District of Columbia with an increase of 208% from 87 to 268. The total of the 10 highest states was 62.3%

At the local level, below are the top 10 metro areas that issued the highest number of single-family permits.

Metropolitan Statistical Area	Single-family Permits: Aug (Units #YTD, NSA)
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX	36,359
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX	35,572
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ	25.209
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA	22,768
Austin-Round Rock, TX	17,375
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL	13,603
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC	13,174
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL	12,068
Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, TN	11,482
Jacksonville, FL	11,400

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National Association of Home Builders Announces Positive Housing Recovery

According to the National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Leading Markets Index (LMI), the national housing market is within a 5% range of complete housing recovery compared to what is considered a “normal” housing market which the United States last saw in 2006.  Out of a score of one, the latest LMI scored a .95 nationwide in housing recovery.

How is the LMI Calculated?

The way that the LMI makes a numeric determination is taking statistics of single-family housing permits, employment, and home prices calculated for the entire country and specifically 337 local markets.  Single-family home permits rose from .48 to .49, new home prices increased from 1.38 to 1.40, and employment rose from .96 to .97.  The really good news is that approximately 35% of the 337 markets have a score that exactly equaled 1 or is greater than 1.

The number of markets which increased overall in single-family home permits in a year-over-year comparison rose by almost 65%. Employment numbers increased 71%.  Three hundred twenty-four markets out of the 337 are now showing new home pricing that is considered normal according to the last data recorded in a normal real estate market in 2006.

For communities located in Louisiana, almost all counties accounted for were located in the top 20% of housing rankings.  Approximately 4 areas were in the top 60% – 80% rankings relative to normal housing numbers for new home permits, employment and new home pricing.  Louisiana overall experienced a far softer impact of the slowdown in housing market numbers of the Recession than other states in the United States.  Baton Rouge consistently ranks in the top 10 cities in the United States with the best recovery numbers to date.

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Home Buyers Seeing Upward Trends in Real Estate

During the first month of the year 2016, home buyers have a lot to be excited about when considering buying a new home for sale.  Home pricing, consumer confidence, and home construction starts and permits are all up!  The housing market has been seeing a steady incline since it bottomed out between 2009 and 2011.  With sharp, record-breaking price increases in 2012 and 2013, the housing market almost seemed to be expanding too fast for consumer demand, consumer affordability, and consumer credit.  However, home pricing trends have “flattened” in 2014 and 2015 creating stability in the real estate market.
During the month of October, 2015, home prices rose at 6% and 11% depending on which report buyers were seeing.  The Case Shiller (CS) National Home Price Index released by S&P Dow Jones Indices showed an 11% increase in October while the more conservative Home Price Index from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) rose 6%.  Either way, home pricing has stabilized and is on the upswing which is good for both buyers (a smart investment) and sellers.

Meanwhile, the vote of confidence from consumers showed an increase of approximately 4 points in December after 2 months of declining numbers.  The Consumer Confidence Index by the Conference Board rose from 92.6 to 96.5 from November to December.  The index shows that consumer confidence is growing back to pre-Recession levels.

Finally, construction housing starts and permits for 2015 were up 10.8% year-over-year to equal to 1.11 million.  Single-family home starts were up 10.4% and multi-family housing starts were up 11.4%.  The single-family home starts numbers came to 715,300.  Increases were seen in all 4 reported regions of the United States for single-family homes.  Housing permits were also up compared to 2014 by 12% with a total of 1.18 million.  Single-family home permits were up by 7.9%, and multi-family home permits were up by 11.4%.  In December, single-family home permit numbers were up by 1.8% compared to November as well.

All signs point to a solidly recovering housing market nationwide, and here in St. Tammany Parish, the custom home business is thriving with many new exciting projects for 2016.  If you are interested in building or buying a new, custom home, Contact Us at 985-626-7619 or E-mail Info@RonLeeHomes.com.

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