Housing Market is Still on the Rise

The housing market is still on the rise and continues to improve according to the findings by the NAHB/First American Leading Markets Index (LMI).  The LMI was developed to record and monitor the recovery of select markets throughout the United States due to the Recession. There are three components (average permit, price and employment levels) that are scored in more than 360 metro areas over a 12 month period.  The scores for these components are then divided by each of their annual averages over the last period of normal growth.  The three component averages are then averaged together giving the overall score for each market.  For single-family permits and new home prices, 2000-2003 is used as the last normal period, and for employment, 2007 is used for the last normal period.

What all of this means in a nutshell is that major metro cities throughout the United States are being monitored for an increase or decrease in real estate activity following the Recession.  The percentages are calculated each month by the National Association of Home Builders and distributed amongst the public and real estate markets so that investors have an idea of how the real estate recovery is progressing nationwide.

Baton Rouge, Louisiana is one of the top recovering cities on the list of major metros on the LMI and is doing 47 percent better than the last findings recorded for the normal market level.  Southeast Louisiana shows an 85 to 92 percent recovery to the normal market level.  In fact, 75 markets out of the 360 metro areas beat their last normal levels of economic and housing activity during the second quarter this year which showed a year-over-year net gain of 13 markets (66% of markets have shown an improvement year over year).  This quarter’s LMI shows that more than half the markets nationwide have reached a 90% or above their normal market level. We are almost back to 100% of normal economic and housing activity that we had before the recession.

“The markets are gradually improving and economic and job growth continue to strengthen, which bodes well for housing for the remainder of the year,” said NAHB Chairman Tom Woods.

Out of the three components of the LMI, housing prices have shown the strongest recovery with 345 markets at the same or above their last normal level. Behind that is the economic level where 64 markets are at their normal market level or have exceeded their normal market level. Housing permit level is lagging behind with only 26 markets at normal or above normal market level.

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Unfilled Construction Jobs Are on the Rise in 2015

Good news for those who are looking for a job in the construction industry, unfilled construction jobs are on the rise in 2015, making the construction labor market a great place to start looking if you are unemployed.  Typically jobs in the construction field usually decline from March to April, but this year, the open positions in March were the highest since July 2007, and in April they were the third highest since the Recession. Mark Vintner, senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities comments that “home building will be one of the economy’s largest upside surprises in 2015.”

According to the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) survey, “employment in home building/remodeling stands at 2.453 million, broken down as 696,000 builders and 1.757 million residential specialty trade contractors.” To sum it up builders and remodelers added 149,000 jobs on a net basis. Many experts believe that housing and construction jobs are the fastest jobs to bounce back after a recession because of expansion.  In fact, the constructions industry was responsible for 20% of employment created in April 2015.

The unemployment rate is not only falling in the residential industry but in the real estate industry as well which will boost the national housing market. According to the National Association of Realtors, “Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed last month, increased 0.9 percent to 112.6, the highest level since April 2006.”

This is still a great time to purchase a new home because all fears of another recession are pacified while they are still not strong enough to cause the Fed to raise interest rates sooner than September 2015.  Household formation is going strong, and Americans are ready to become homeowners which is paving the way to the construction of new homes both single-family and multifamily. We can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel in the housing industry job market.

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