Mortgage Demands Still on the Rise

 Mortgage rates have been dropping now for twelve weeks in a row. The last week of November was no exception. Mortgage applications increased 3.9% in volume the last week of November according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

“Weekly mortgage rate volatility has emerged again, as markets respond to fiscal policy uncertainty and

a resurgence in Covid-19 cases around the country,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of industry and economic forecasting.

Refinance applications rose 5% which was the highest since last April. The volume of refinancing was 79% higher than this time last year. In fact, refinance was 71.1% of the total mortgage activity. According to Black Knight, a mortgage technology and data provider, today’s average mortgage rate is about a full percentage point lower than it was a year ago.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year-fixed-rate dropped to 2.92% with the points falling to 0.35 for loans with a 20% down payment. Even with the higher home prices, buyers are still on the winning side with such low rates. Mortgage applications to purchase a home were 19% higher than this time last year.

“Amidst strong competition for a limited supply of homes for sale, as well as rapidly increasing home prices, purchase applications increased for both conventional and government borrowers. Furthermore, purchase activity has surpassed year-ago levels for over six months,” Kan said.

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Homebuyers Weekly Mortgage Demand on the Rise

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total mortgage application volume rose 4.1% the week of July 13th from the week before. Homebuyer demand is hotter than ever, especially with the record low mortgage rates.

“Mortgage applications increased last week despite mixed results from the various rates tracked in MBA’s survey,” said Joel Kan, an economist for the trade group. “The average 30-year fixed-rate

mortgage rose slightly to 3.20%, but some creditworthy borrowers are being offered rates even below 3%.”

There was a small increase to 3.20% in the average contract interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with a conforming loan balance of $510,400 or less. For loans with a 20% down payment points (including the origination fee) went up from 0.33 to 0.35. The average on the 30-year fixed mortgage was 88 basis points higher than it was at the end of June.

This small jump encouraged homebuyers to act which increased the refinance application volume up 5% for the week and 122% from the same week a year ago. According to the seasonally adjusted index data “the refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 64.8% of total applications from 64.2% the previous week.”

Mortgage applications to purchase a home rose 2% the week of July 13th and were reported at 19% higher than this time last year. That marked the ninth straight week of annual gains. According to Fannie Mae chief economist Doug Duncan, close to 60% of all outstanding loan balances have around a half-percentage point incentive to refinance.

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Interest Rates Still Low for New Home Buyers

Real estate professionals have expressed concerns as to the state of the interest rate in today’s housing market because there are rumors that the interest rate is about to be raised by the Federal Reserve (The Fed).  Because of these fears, many homeowners have hurried up to refinance their homes with these historically low interest rates while home buyers have been “coming off the fence” more rapidly than normal to buy a new home.  These worries can be set aside for now as The Fed has decided not to raise interest rates during their last meeting citing a weak global economy, low inflation, and unstable financial markets.
However, there are some aspects to consider when deciding whether or not to buy a new home as soon as possible before interest rates “go back up.”  The first point is that even if interest rates do go up, they are not forecast to go up by much upon raising.  The increase in the interest rate will STILL be lower than any record of interest rate lows in the past.  This means that you will still be able to maximize the amount of money you use to buy your new home with lower interest rates.

The second aspect to consider is that the increase in the interest rate means that the U.S. economy and job market are getting better which means more and better jobs for home buyers interested in buying a home. Waiting until you have the right job and the financial ability to buy a home is a better choice than “squeaking by” to be able to buy a home at a lower interest rate with no stability in your financial future.

Finally, when The Fed does raise interest rates, this is good for investors and employees with retirement accounts because interest rates for these types of savings and money making accounts go up as The Fed raises the interest rate.

Even though The Fed’s decision is to not raise interest rates at this time, interest rates are expected to go up as soon as the end of 2015.  Whether they go up or not, now is the time to take advantage of the incredible financing offers to buy your home while interest rates are low, credit restrictions are easing, and down payment assistance has once more been established by the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

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