Several Questions To Ponder Before Buying a Home

Purchasing a home is one of life's biggest and most stressful events. With that said, it is also one of the most exciting events. When it comes to advise, everyone has it and while friends and family have your best interest in mind, to make the best decision, you need to ask yourself these three questions.

1. What's Going on with Home Prices?

Home prices are a big part of the housing market. Home prices directly affect how much it will cost you to buy a home and how much you stand to gain as a homeowner when prices appreciate. Waiting might not be in the best interest of the buyer.

The current market is seeing big home price surges and looks like they will continue. Keeping Current Matters reveals Home Price Forecasts for 2021. This is a good tool to use to predict just what it will cost you to buy a home. Today the average of all forecasts is 12.46%. This means a median-priced home that cost $350,000 in January of 2021 will cost an additional $43,610 by the end of the year. So in a nutshell the longer you wait to purchase a home the more it will cost you.

2. Are Today's Low Mortgage Rates Going To Last?

Due to record-low mortgage rates, today's market is booming. Interest rates also put a big dent in the market. The lower the rate the better the market, the higher the rate the slower the market. Just a slight increase can make a big impact on the overall cost of a home.

3. Why Is Homeownership Important to You?

The answer to this question is not the same for everyone. This is a personal decision and can only be answered by you. Financial benefits are important but emotional benefits are also. According to the 2021 National Homeownership Market Survey, there are nine reasons homeowners value homeownership.

These nine reasons directly affect how you feel about your home. Six of the nine reasons include stability, safety, a sense of accomplishment, a life milestone, a stake in the community, and personal pride. The National Housing & Financial Capability Survey from NeighborWorks America reports that Americans believe owning a home provides a sense of safety and security and an increase in financial stability.

Remember owning a home is a life-changing event and will have a big impact. This is a big decision and all options should be well thought out. Using a trusted Realtor can help you with the decision.

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Mortgage Demands Still on the Rise

 Mortgage rates have been dropping now for twelve weeks in a row. The last week of November was no exception. Mortgage applications increased 3.9% in volume the last week of November according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

“Weekly mortgage rate volatility has emerged again, as markets respond to fiscal policy uncertainty and

a resurgence in Covid-19 cases around the country,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of industry and economic forecasting.

Refinance applications rose 5% which was the highest since last April. The volume of refinancing was 79% higher than this time last year. In fact, refinance was 71.1% of the total mortgage activity. According to Black Knight, a mortgage technology and data provider, today’s average mortgage rate is about a full percentage point lower than it was a year ago.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year-fixed-rate dropped to 2.92% with the points falling to 0.35 for loans with a 20% down payment. Even with the higher home prices, buyers are still on the winning side with such low rates. Mortgage applications to purchase a home were 19% higher than this time last year.

“Amidst strong competition for a limited supply of homes for sale, as well as rapidly increasing home prices, purchase applications increased for both conventional and government borrowers. Furthermore, purchase activity has surpassed year-ago levels for over six months,” Kan said.

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June Home Sales Hit A Record-Setting Rebound

Even though the housing market was severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, it is rebounding at record speeds. According to the latest National Association of Realtors (NAR) Existing Home Sales Report, June marked a record-setting rebound in home sales. NAR reported a 20.7% jump in home sales from May to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 4.72 million in June.

“Existing-home sales rebounded at a record pace in June, showing strong signs of a market turnaround after three straight months of sales declines caused by the ongoing pandemic…Each of the four major regions achieved month-over-month growth,” reports the National Association of Realtors.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR says this is a major boost for the housing market and the U.S. economy as a whole. He goes on to explain the sales recovery is strong because buyers are back in the market purchasing the properties they have been eyeing during the country’s shut-down.

The low mortgage rates and increase job gains will keep this revitalization going for many months ahead. Mortgage rates are at an all-time low at under 3% for the first time. Everyone wants to take advantage of the rates while they are so low. Low inventory and a massive amount of buyers have increased home prices because of bidding wars. In June the median existing-home price for all types of housing was $295,300 which was up 3.5% from this time last year. This marks the 100 straight months of year-over-year gains.

The housing industry is leading the economy to recovery. This is the right time to purchase a home and a Realtor can take you step by step through the home buying process.

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A Strong February for Single-Family Starts

Single-family starts grew in numbers this February according to estimates from the Housing and Urban Development and Commerce Departments. The great start stems from builder confidence and low mortgage rates.

The Federal Reserve rolled out an emergency rate cut making rates hit a historic low. Currently, the benchmark interest rate range is 1% to 1.25%. Freddi Mac reports an average 3.45% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and 2.95% average for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage. What does this mean for

the housing market? Potential buyers who are just on the verge of purchasing a new home will now have a great incentive to jump on the opportunity.

The Single-Family Housing Starts and Builder Confidence is shown in a graph depicting the 3-month moving average. According to the graph, the 3-month average for single-family construction is higher than post-recession high. The single-family starts showed an increase of 6.7% making it a 1,072,000 seasonally adjusted annual pace in February.

Builder confidence is going strong with construction at a fast pace due to warmer weather. There were 539,000 single-family homes under construction reported in the month of February 2020. The numbers look as though they do not reflect a rise, however, they are making up for the declines seen in early 2019. Other sectors are also seeing an increase. Currently, there are 683,000 apartments under construction which is 12% up from this time last year. This also marks a post-Great Recession high for apartment construction.

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NAHB’s Analysis Shows Gain in Custom Home Building for 2019

Low Mortgage interest rates have supported a surge in custom home building in the fourth quarter of 2019. The NAHB’s analysis of Census Data from the Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design survey revealed that custom home building increased at the end of 2019.

The US Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC) is a survey conducted by the US Census Bureau and partially funded by HUD (Department of Housing and Urban Development). The SOC reports up to date national and regional data on housing starts, completions and characteristics of all residential housing. The data which is collected includes the start date, completion date, sales date, sales price (single-family houses only), and physical characteristics of each housing unit, such as

square footage and number of bedrooms. The Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design is based on the Building Permits Survey and from the Survey of Construction (SOC).

The National Association of Home Builder’s analysis shows 44,000 total custom building starts during the fourth quarter of 2019. This is a 16% gain over the same quarter in 2018 which totaled to 38,000 total custom building starts. Data shows a solid gain occurred during the last four quarters with custom housing starts totaling to 177,000.

The custom home building market will continue to expand with demand from both owner and contractor built homes. The low mortgage interest rates will protect the custom home building market thus maintaining the positive custom home building outlook.

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A 4.1% Rise From November 2018 In Construction Spending

The Census Bureau reported the November 2019 U.S. spending rate for U.S. construction is 4.1% above 2018’s rate for last November. According to the report construction spending amounted to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.324 trillion.

Out of the total construction spending, spending on private construction was 1.6% above November

2018’s and is at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $985.5 billion. Residential construction spending came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $536.1 in November making it 2.7% up from a year ago.

“Single-family builders are currently reporting ongoing positive conditions, spurred in part by low mortgage rates and continued job growth,” NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde said. “In a further sign of solid demand, this is the fourth consecutive month where at least half of all builders surveyed have reported positive buyer traffic conditions.

Homebuilders are confident in the current housing market. The National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo suggest the sentiment levels are at 70 points making the rate the second-highest level in 2019. The points are 10 points higher than reported this time in 2018.

The positive housing market is expected to continue in 2020. This forecast is based upon the number of applications for new building permits which were at the highest level in November 2019 than they have been in a decade.

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The Nation’s Housing Market To Boost 2020 Economy

Good news for the new year in the nation’s economy sector. According to CNN Business, the housing market is thriving and will continue to thrive into the new year boosting the economy in 2020.

Although the housing market is just a small factor in the boost, it still is important for the economy as a whole. Purchasing a home is one of the most important and largest purchase decisions one can

make. Consumer spending makes up approximately two-thirds of US economic growth.

“The housing market is probably going to be a modest tailwind to the economy,” David Berson, chief economist at Nationwide, told CNN Business.

Catalyst for the boost in the housing market stems from low mortgage rates, a strong labor market with rages that are rising and low unemployment rates.

Mortgage rates  are at a three-year low and home loans are very affordable. The Federal Reserve says it will keep rates on hold for the time being which stands at about 3.96% to 4.01%.

The central bank cut interest rates three times in 2019. The cut makes the adjustable-rate mortgages cheaper according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

The US Labor Department reports the 21st straight month that the unemployment rates have been at or below 4%.

They also reported that wages are up 3.1% over the last year. On average, annual wages have increased 3% or greater every month since the summer of 2018. Unemployment is down near a 50-year low.

The National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo reported a 20-year high this December in the Housing Market index. In fact, the Housing Market Index did not even reach this high pre -2008 mortgage crisis.

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