A jointly sponsored survey from the National Association of Home
Builders (NAHB) and Wells Fargo to a selection of builders in the United
States rates builder confidence in three different areas: current sales
conditions, prospective buyers, and expectations for future sales. The
results of this survey are published each month in the NAHB/Wells Fargo
Housing Market Index (HMI). Any rating by builders that is higher than
50 is considered a positive sign. During October, 2017, the builder
confidence index rose to a total of 68 for all three categories, which
is the highest
level it has
been since May of this year. March – June are considered
some of the best months for real estate, so to have this high of a score
during October from builders is a very positive sign for the real
estate industry as a whole.
“This month’s report shows that home builders are rebounding from the
initial shock of the hurricanes,” said NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald,
a home builder and developer from Kerrville, Texas. “However, builders
need to be mindful of long-term repercussions from the storms, such as
intensified material price increases and labor shortages.”
It is also interesting to note that builder confidence is so high
when the hurricanes have eaten up a lot of the construction labor
available to builders with flood restoration and home repair. Some
construction companies have one year and year and a half waiting lists
for hurricane-related home repairs. In fact, the typical number of new
home permits issued in Houston in a year has been surpassed by the
number of permits requested for home repairs.
The price of lumber is also up 21% and is expected to continue to
rise. However, builders are also seeing a surge in demand for new homes
after the hurricanes, so this has probably helped with builder
confidence levels during this month.
The exact numbers of the three survey factors are as follows: current
sales conditions rose five points to 75. Sales expectations over the
next six months also rose five points to 78. The component measuring
buyer traffic rose just one point to 48 and is the only measure in
negative territory.
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