New Homes Are Popular With Millennials

Many potential home owners have many different preferences when it comes to buying a home. According to the NAHB Economics team, millennials show an increase in interest in new homes built for sale and offered by a builder.

Statistics show that between 2007 and 2018, millennials who desired to purchase a new home, went

from 28% to 41%. Existing homes stayed around 40% in the 11-year time span and custom-built homes fell from 37% to 18% during the same time span.

The data shows that millennials, at 41%, are the first in the running when it comes to wanting a brand new home offered by a builder.  The next generation for this preference was seniors coming in at 31%. The bottom two were baby boomers at 29% and gen x at 28%.

Several factors play into the desire for new homes for millennials. They want to live in the central city, which is opposite for the majority that still want to live in the suburbs. Millennials want a set of

amenities that are not necessarily custom such as trash compactors, wet bars, built-in kitchen seating and an exercise room. Millennials are okay with smaller homes on smaller lots if they are able to get what they want in amenities and finishes.

Other data that was reported in the study looked at existing homes and custom homes built on owned lots. When it came to existing homes, baby boomers were the highest at 48%, gen x at 47%, seniors at 43% and millennials came in last at 41%. Those that desired a home custom built on an owned lot all hovered between 18% to 27%.


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Lower Mortgage Rates Encourages Gains In Existing Home Sales

New home sales are on the rise but the existing home sales are keeping up. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) total existing home sales reported a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.42 million.

The NAR reported that on a year-over-year basis, existing home sales were 0.6% up than a year ago which included single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. This is the first year-over-year gain in almost a year and a half.

Homes stayed on the market 29 days in July 2019 with 51% of homes on the market selling in less than a month. All-cash sales composed 19% of transactions up from June 2019. Median sale price of

existing homes in July was up 4.3% from a year ago at $280,000 and existing condominium/co-op prices were up 2.5% with a median price of $254,300.

Sales by regions saw an increase, except for the Northeast and West, for existing homes sales in July 2019. Existing home sales in the Midwest grew 0.8% and in the South existing homes rose to 2.7%.
NAR has encouraged the market to add more inventory which is a good sign. The falling mortgage rates, July 2019 at 3.77%, and lower home prices are a big plus.

“We are optimistic that the latter part of this year and the early months of 2020, at least, will see a significant upturn in sales. That, in turn, will boost construction activity in due course,” wrote Ian Shepherdson, founder and chief economist of Pantheon Macroeconomics, in a research note.


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National Mortgage Rates Are at a Near 3-Year Low

According to Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, the lower mortgage rates are getting positive results from home buyers across the nation. Mortgage applications for home purchases are rising steadily and have seen the highest year-over-year change since the fall of 2017.

Here is a look at the national averages with mortgage rates Freddie Mac reported for the week ending July 25, 2019:

The 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 3.75% with an average 0.5 point. This was a dip from the week prior which was at an average of 3.81%. July of 2018 reported 30-year rates averaged 4.54%.

The 15-year fixed mortgages reported as the following. They averaged 3.18%, with an average 0.5 point. Again, this was a lower than last week’s which reported 3.23% average. This time last year the 15-year rates averaged 4.02%.

The average 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages was 3.47%, with an average 0.4 point. Another fall from last week’s 3.48% average. A year ago the 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 3.87%

“While the improvement has yet to impact home sales, there’s a clear firming of purchase demand that should translate into higher home sales in the second half of this year,” Khater says.


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Lowered Interest Rates Are Favorable For the Economy

Most Americans are affected by interest rates whether through a mortgage or credit cards. July 2019, marked the first time the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates since the crash in 2008. Pressured by President Trump and the possibility of an economic downturn, policymakers voted 8-2 for the small cut in federal rates.

“Should trade negotiations turn positive and economic data, especially inflation, firm in coming

months, July’s move could be a one-and-done easing,” said nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers in a note. “Still, given the slowing trajectory for the economy and precedence from previous mid-expansion easing cycles, a further rate cut (or two) by year-end may occur.”

Investors are eager to see the out turn of the rate cut and are hoping for more rate cuts in the near future. They are watching for any clues that there will be a future rate cut. Wall Street has already been pricing another rate cut for the year end.

The economy is strong as seen in job gains and retail and economic growth on the rise. If there is another cut, the Federal Reserve will need to justify their decision.

Policymakers vocalized that they will “continue to monitor” any data which would have an effect on the US economy and “act as appropriate” to retain “the country’s longest economic expansion in history.” The central bank believes these steps are necessary to keep America’s economy strong.


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