2020 Is The Year For Millennial Home Buyers

“After a decade of cocooning, millennials want to buy homes that represent value, which is in keeping with the way they shop for everything else,” CNBC’s Jim Cramer said. “The delay in … homebuying is over, the spending is just beginning.”

The year 2020 will bring a new era to dominate the housing market. According to CNBC.com, ” Millennials are expected to be the largest single cohort of homebuyers in 2020.”

“People who have jobs and feel confident in the future are taking advantage of affordable luxury

wherever they can find it,” Cramer said. “I think that gives you great insight into the behavior of millennials, or at least the millennials who have money to spend.”

This generation, born between 1981 and 1997, make up around 33% of the homebuyers which is up from 20% just five years ago.

“In fiscal year 2019 over 20% of our closings had one purchaser 35 years old or under,” CEO of Toll Brothers Doug Yearley said.

Toll Brothers is the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes. The company builds in 23 states and the District of Columbia. The company had a strong fourth quarter in 2019. They reported earning $1.41 per share on revenue of $2.38 billion. Toll Brothers sold 2,672 units in home sales that totaled $2.29 billion in a three-month period.

Toll Brothers is focusing its affordable luxury communities on move-up, active adult and millennial

buyers. The older more affluent millennials have been the biggest factor in this decision.
“This market is strong and demographics suggest it will grow over the next decade as millennials mature,” Yearley said.

Another big homebuilder, Taylor Morrision, agrees that millenials are on an upward trend when it comes to homebuying. The homebuilder, which builds in nine states among the south, southwest and midwest regions, reports that a good majority of their homebuyers are millennials.

“People who have jobs and feel confident in the future are taking advantage of affordable luxury wherever they can find it,” Cramer said. “I think that gives you great insight into the behavior of millennials, or at least the millennials who have money to spend.”

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The Nation’s Housing Market To Boost 2020 Economy

Good news for the new year in the nation’s economy sector. According to CNN Business, the housing market is thriving and will continue to thrive into the new year boosting the economy in 2020.

Although the housing market is just a small factor in the boost, it still is important for the economy as a whole. Purchasing a home is one of the most important and largest purchase decisions one can

make. Consumer spending makes up approximately two-thirds of US economic growth.

“The housing market is probably going to be a modest tailwind to the economy,” David Berson, chief economist at Nationwide, told CNN Business.

Catalyst for the boost in the housing market stems from low mortgage rates, a strong labor market with rages that are rising and low unemployment rates.

Mortgage rates  are at a three-year low and home loans are very affordable. The Federal Reserve says it will keep rates on hold for the time being which stands at about 3.96% to 4.01%.

The central bank cut interest rates three times in 2019. The cut makes the adjustable-rate mortgages cheaper according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

The US Labor Department reports the 21st straight month that the unemployment rates have been at or below 4%.

They also reported that wages are up 3.1% over the last year. On average, annual wages have increased 3% or greater every month since the summer of 2018. Unemployment is down near a 50-year low.

The National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo reported a 20-year high this December in the Housing Market index. In fact, the Housing Market Index did not even reach this high pre -2008 mortgage crisis.

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Interest Rates Hold Steady For 2020

To aid in the country’s economic expansion, the Federal Reserve announced they are holding interest rates between 1.5% and 1.75% at the December meeting. There will be no more rate cuts but this is a positive, shifting the fears that there will be a recession.

With the nation’s economic expansion in its 11th year, the Fed will watch closely to the U.S.Federal Open Market Committee’s policy-setting body, thirteen agreed with keeping the rates steady going into the new year. Only four on the committee feels that rates should be increased.

economy. Of the seventeen participants on the

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is also in agreement with keeping interest rates level. According to Powell, “the Fed can hold rates steady, because historically unemployment has been able to remain at very low levels for an extended period of time without having an effect on inflation.”

The Commerce Department announced in the meeting that consumer prices are up by 2.1% over 2019 but overall  inflation has remained below the Fed’s 2% target range. Powell comments that the monetary policy is in a “good place”. The Fed’s predict the US economy will grow at 2.2% and slow to 2% the next year.

Although the global economic growth is sluggish and there is uncertainty with global trade, the US economy is a “star performer” says Powell. This is thanks to the nation’s strong consumer spending and steady job growth.

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Home Sales Higher Than This Time Last Year

The National Association of Realtors reported good news for home sales this fall. According to their data, home sales were 4.4% higher annually. This stems from the boost in newly built home sales,

lower 30-year fixed rates and an overall increase annually in pending home sales.

Across the country for-sale inventory has fallen but the demand has increased. October 2019, showed a major spike in sales of newly built homes compared to those reported in October 2018. Builders across the United States are focusing more on construction of more affordable homes.

Lower rates throughout this year has definitely pushed an increase in demand for new construction. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rates reached almost a full percentage

point lower this October than it was a year ago. Reports are showing an increase in mortgage applications and this will continue as the lower interest rate holds.

All the regions reported an annually higher percentage in pending home sales. The Northeast reported a 3% higher increase, the Midwest was 1.8% higher, the South reported a 5.1% increase from this time last year and the West was a 7.5% increase.

“There is no shortage of buyers seeking homes,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR.

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