Home Purchases Are Still On the Rise

Even though we saw a slight decrease in April, home purchases are still going strong. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Application Survey shows that purchase activity rose 5.3% with an even higher year-over-year the week of May 29.

The ongoing economic and virus challenges didn’t stop housing demand which boasted a rise in home-buying activity compared to last year. A big part of the increase is the record low in mortgage rates. The Primary Mortgage Market Survey’s 30-year fixed-rate mortgage shows a decrease by 5 basis points which keeps the ongoing record low.

The survey shows that home purchase applications have been increasing for five consecutive weeks. In fact, the National Home Builders Association (NAHB) predicts that the housing industry will be a leading sector when it comes to the country’s economic recovery. Fannie Mae reports, “the refinance volume of applications is poised to reach a 17-year high as it forecasts mortgage rates to tumble further.”

The HMI, which indicates builders’ confidence, showed a sturdy gain in May. According to the current National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) when it comes to newly-built single-family homes builder confidence rose seven points to 37 last month. The HMI index also showed an increase in sales conditions to 42, a 46 for the component measuring sales expectations in the next six months and 21 for the measure charting traffic of prospective buyers.

Across the regions the HMI scores’ monthly average increased 7 points in the Midwest to 32, in the South, it rose eight points to 42 and in the West a 12 point increase to 44. The only region which saw a decrease was the Northeast which fell 2 points to 17.


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Home Sales Higher Than This Time Last Year

The National Association of Realtors reported good news for home sales this fall. According to their data, home sales were 4.4% higher annually. This stems from the boost in newly built home sales,

lower 30-year fixed rates and an overall increase annually in pending home sales.

Across the country for-sale inventory has fallen but the demand has increased. October 2019, showed a major spike in sales of newly built homes compared to those reported in October 2018. Builders across the United States are focusing more on construction of more affordable homes.

Lower rates throughout this year has definitely pushed an increase in demand for new construction. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rates reached almost a full percentage

point lower this October than it was a year ago. Reports are showing an increase in mortgage applications and this will continue as the lower interest rate holds.

All the regions reported an annually higher percentage in pending home sales. The Northeast reported a 3% higher increase, the Midwest was 1.8% higher, the South reported a 5.1% increase from this time last year and the West was a 7.5% increase.

“There is no shortage of buyers seeking homes,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR.

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A Busy Mortgage Market for the Fall

Freddie Mac reported a small bump up in the 30-year rate in their last data released, however it is predicted that the rates will come down this fall. According to the latest data, the 30-year fixed-rate average is now at 3.65 percent with an average 0.6 point and the 15-year fixed-rate is now at 3.14 percent with an average 0.5 point.

Many lackluster economic views are putting pressure on the mortgage rates to fall. Bankrate.com reported that close to three-quarters of economic experts predict the rates will fall this week. The U.S.

Treasuries rose and yields have fallen. The 10-year bond dropped to 1.6 percent at the beginning of Oct. 2019 and just two weeks ago, it was reported at 1.8 percent. When U.S. bonds dip, the mortgage rates usually follow.

“Fueled by low rates and solid home-buyer demand, this fall’s mortgage market continues to be busy,” said Bob Broeksmit, MBA president and CEO. “Mortgage applications for both refinances and home purchases increased last week, and the year-over-year gains were even more impressive. With rates expected to stay around 4 percent, overall activity in the final three months of 2019 should stay solidly above last year’s levels, when borrowing costs were much higher.”

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications are on the rise. Their report shows an 8.1 percent increase from the previous week’s report. The report also relayed a 14 percent jump in the refinance index and a 1 percent jump in the purchase index.

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National Mortgage Rates Are at a Near 3-Year Low

According to Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, the lower mortgage rates are getting positive results from home buyers across the nation. Mortgage applications for home purchases are rising steadily and have seen the highest year-over-year change since the fall of 2017.

Here is a look at the national averages with mortgage rates Freddie Mac reported for the week ending July 25, 2019:

The 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 3.75% with an average 0.5 point. This was a dip from the week prior which was at an average of 3.81%. July of 2018 reported 30-year rates averaged 4.54%.

The 15-year fixed mortgages reported as the following. They averaged 3.18%, with an average 0.5 point. Again, this was a lower than last week’s which reported 3.23% average. This time last year the 15-year rates averaged 4.02%.

The average 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages was 3.47%, with an average 0.4 point. Another fall from last week’s 3.48% average. A year ago the 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 3.87%

“While the improvement has yet to impact home sales, there’s a clear firming of purchase demand that should translate into higher home sales in the second half of this year,” Khater says.


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