June 2023 Sees a Positive Move When It Comes to Builder Confidence

 For the first time in the past year or so, builder confidence has moved into the positive range. The confidence booster is due to the heavy buyer demand, low home inventory and the increase in productivity in the supply chain. The National Association of Home Builders had a lot of great data to share about the housing market.

As of June 2023, builders’ confidence in newly-built single-family homes rose to fifty-five points. According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) this is the sixth straight month that there has been an increase in builder confidence.

“Builders are feeling cautiously optimistic about market conditions given low levels of existing home inventory and ongoing gradual improvements for supply chains,” said NAHB Chairman Alicia Huey, a custom home builder and developer from Birmingham, Ala. “However, access for builder and developer loans has become more difficult to obtain over the last year, which will ultimately result in lower lot supplies as the industry tries to expand off cycle lows.”

“A bottom is forming for single-family home building as builder sentiment continues to gradually rise from the beginning of the year,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “This month marks the first time in a year that both the current and future sales components of the HMI have exceeded 60, as some buyers adjust to a new normal in terms of interest rates. The Federal Reserve nearing the end of its tightening cycle is also good news for future market conditions in terms of mortgage rates and the cost of financing for builder and developer loans.”

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What Questions To Ask Before Purchasing a Home

 No matter if you are a first-time homebuyer or this is one of many home purchases, it can be an exciting time.  According to the National Association of Realtors, homeowners stay in their homes an average of 8 years before moving. Purchasing a home is a long-term investment, and you should take a moment to ask yourself these questions before making the purchase.

1. What can I comfortably afford?

When you are considering what is comfortable for you to spend each month, this doesn’t just include your mortgage payment, but other home expenses as well. These additional expenses include taxes, homeowner’s insurance, homeowner’s association dues, utility cost and maintenance. A good rule to follow is to make sure that all your expenses which include your total house payment, taxes and insurance should be below 28% of your gross monthly income.

2. Which loans do I qualify for?

In order to figure this out, you will need to already have a lender. Your lender can go through all of the options and help you weigh the pros and cons of each. For example, if you want to have a monthly payment that stays the same, you would want to go with a conventional fixed-rate mortgage.

3. How much will you need for your down payment?

A lender can help factor in what kind of loans you will qualify for which in turn will determine your down payment. A VA loan requires a low down payment and in some circumstances no down payment at all. Other loans such as a conventional loan like to have a 20% of the home’s purchase price as a downpayment. On some loans, a higher down payment can lower your monthly payments and your interest rate.

4. What’s PMI? Do I have to pay it?

PMI is also known as private mortgage insurance and is required on many loans if the down payment is less than 20% of the home’s sale price. For example, if you do obtain a conventional loan and put less than 20% down, you will also have to pay PMI. Once you pay your loan down, your PMI can come off.

5. What interest rate do I qualify for? How can I lower it?

Your mortgage interest rate is very important in the life of your loan as it has a direct impact on your monthly payment. When you are shopping around for a lender, compare their APR (annual percentage rate) and their lender fees. Once you have chosen a lender, they can help you with ways to lower your interest rate.

6. What will my monthly payment be?

A lender can estimate your monthly payment based on the purchase price of a home, your down payment and your interest rate. There are also tons of monthly mortgage payment calculators online that can help you with a ballpark figure of how much you will pay a month.

7. What are the closing costs?

Closing costs include origination fees, discount points, appraisal, document preparation, title insurance, and home inspection. Closing costs run anywhere from 2% to 5% of your loan amount. Before you close on your home, your lender will provide you with an itemized list of estimated closing costs.

8. How long will the closing process take?

You want to make sure to give yourself enough time to get your financing in order, so put a reasonable closing date on your offer. Obtaining financing and getting everything in order for your home to close can take between 30 to 60 days.

If you are in the market for a new home, now is a great time to ask a real estate agent for their expertise. They can not only help you with the home-buying process, but will also be able to direct to a good lender.

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Benefits of Homeownership

 Even with the rising mortgage rates, inflation and the slowing housing market there are benefits to homeownership. The secret is how you gain equity and wealth due to home values rising over time.

“Home equity gains are built up through price appreciation and by paying off the mortgage through principal payments,” stated the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released data showing the gains over the last five years. Home prices grew around 64% on average across the country during that period.
Meaning, the home’s value can increase a lot during a short time period.

Think that is good? They also revealed that over a thirty-year span home prices went up over 290% (on average)! Even with the price increases coming in different by state and local areas, a homeowner who purchased a home thirty years ago saw their equity triple.

The cooling house market will still see home price appreciation in 2023. If you purchase a home, it will still grow in value over the next year. It will just grow over a slower pace than we have seen the last couple of years.

The cooling market should not detour you from owning a home. Rental prices have also been climbing and there are no benefits to throwing your money away to rent. Home buying is an investment that will set you up for long-term gains. Contact a local real estate agent to start your homeownership journey.

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Home Sales Higher Than This Time Last Year

The National Association of Realtors reported good news for home sales this fall. According to their data, home sales were 4.4% higher annually. This stems from the boost in newly built home sales,

lower 30-year fixed rates and an overall increase annually in pending home sales.

Across the country for-sale inventory has fallen but the demand has increased. October 2019, showed a major spike in sales of newly built homes compared to those reported in October 2018. Builders across the United States are focusing more on construction of more affordable homes.

Lower rates throughout this year has definitely pushed an increase in demand for new construction. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rates reached almost a full percentage

point lower this October than it was a year ago. Reports are showing an increase in mortgage applications and this will continue as the lower interest rate holds.

All the regions reported an annually higher percentage in pending home sales. The Northeast reported a 3% higher increase, the Midwest was 1.8% higher, the South reported a 5.1% increase from this time last year and the West was a 7.5% increase.

“There is no shortage of buyers seeking homes,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR.

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Lower Mortgage Rates Encourages Gains In Existing Home Sales

New home sales are on the rise but the existing home sales are keeping up. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) total existing home sales reported a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.42 million.

The NAR reported that on a year-over-year basis, existing home sales were 0.6% up than a year ago which included single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. This is the first year-over-year gain in almost a year and a half.

Homes stayed on the market 29 days in July 2019 with 51% of homes on the market selling in less than a month. All-cash sales composed 19% of transactions up from June 2019. Median sale price of

existing homes in July was up 4.3% from a year ago at $280,000 and existing condominium/co-op prices were up 2.5% with a median price of $254,300.

Sales by regions saw an increase, except for the Northeast and West, for existing homes sales in July 2019. Existing home sales in the Midwest grew 0.8% and in the South existing homes rose to 2.7%.
NAR has encouraged the market to add more inventory which is a good sign. The falling mortgage rates, July 2019 at 3.77%, and lower home prices are a big plus.

“We are optimistic that the latter part of this year and the early months of 2020, at least, will see a significant upturn in sales. That, in turn, will boost construction activity in due course,” wrote Ian Shepherdson, founder and chief economist of Pantheon Macroeconomics, in a research note.


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