New Homes Are Popular With Millennials

Many potential home owners have many different preferences when it comes to buying a home. According to the NAHB Economics team, millennials show an increase in interest in new homes built for sale and offered by a builder.

Statistics show that between 2007 and 2018, millennials who desired to purchase a new home, went

from 28% to 41%. Existing homes stayed around 40% in the 11-year time span and custom-built homes fell from 37% to 18% during the same time span.

The data shows that millennials, at 41%, are the first in the running when it comes to wanting a brand new home offered by a builder.  The next generation for this preference was seniors coming in at 31%. The bottom two were baby boomers at 29% and gen x at 28%.

Several factors play into the desire for new homes for millennials. They want to live in the central city, which is opposite for the majority that still want to live in the suburbs. Millennials want a set of

amenities that are not necessarily custom such as trash compactors, wet bars, built-in kitchen seating and an exercise room. Millennials are okay with smaller homes on smaller lots if they are able to get what they want in amenities and finishes.

Other data that was reported in the study looked at existing homes and custom homes built on owned lots. When it came to existing homes, baby boomers were the highest at 48%, gen x at 47%, seniors at 43% and millennials came in last at 41%. Those that desired a home custom built on an owned lot all hovered between 18% to 27%.


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Lower Mortgage Rates Encourages Gains In Existing Home Sales

New home sales are on the rise but the existing home sales are keeping up. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) total existing home sales reported a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.42 million.

The NAR reported that on a year-over-year basis, existing home sales were 0.6% up than a year ago which included single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. This is the first year-over-year gain in almost a year and a half.

Homes stayed on the market 29 days in July 2019 with 51% of homes on the market selling in less than a month. All-cash sales composed 19% of transactions up from June 2019. Median sale price of

existing homes in July was up 4.3% from a year ago at $280,000 and existing condominium/co-op prices were up 2.5% with a median price of $254,300.

Sales by regions saw an increase, except for the Northeast and West, for existing homes sales in July 2019. Existing home sales in the Midwest grew 0.8% and in the South existing homes rose to 2.7%.
NAR has encouraged the market to add more inventory which is a good sign. The falling mortgage rates, July 2019 at 3.77%, and lower home prices are a big plus.

“We are optimistic that the latter part of this year and the early months of 2020, at least, will see a significant upturn in sales. That, in turn, will boost construction activity in due course,” wrote Ian Shepherdson, founder and chief economist of Pantheon Macroeconomics, in a research note.


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National Mortgage Rates Are at a Near 3-Year Low

According to Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, the lower mortgage rates are getting positive results from home buyers across the nation. Mortgage applications for home purchases are rising steadily and have seen the highest year-over-year change since the fall of 2017.

Here is a look at the national averages with mortgage rates Freddie Mac reported for the week ending July 25, 2019:

The 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 3.75% with an average 0.5 point. This was a dip from the week prior which was at an average of 3.81%. July of 2018 reported 30-year rates averaged 4.54%.

The 15-year fixed mortgages reported as the following. They averaged 3.18%, with an average 0.5 point. Again, this was a lower than last week’s which reported 3.23% average. This time last year the 15-year rates averaged 4.02%.

The average 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages was 3.47%, with an average 0.4 point. Another fall from last week’s 3.48% average. A year ago the 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 3.87%

“While the improvement has yet to impact home sales, there’s a clear firming of purchase demand that should translate into higher home sales in the second half of this year,” Khater says.


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Lowered Interest Rates Are Favorable For the Economy

Most Americans are affected by interest rates whether through a mortgage or credit cards. July 2019, marked the first time the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates since the crash in 2008. Pressured by President Trump and the possibility of an economic downturn, policymakers voted 8-2 for the small cut in federal rates.

“Should trade negotiations turn positive and economic data, especially inflation, firm in coming

months, July’s move could be a one-and-done easing,” said nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers in a note. “Still, given the slowing trajectory for the economy and precedence from previous mid-expansion easing cycles, a further rate cut (or two) by year-end may occur.”

Investors are eager to see the out turn of the rate cut and are hoping for more rate cuts in the near future. They are watching for any clues that there will be a future rate cut. Wall Street has already been pricing another rate cut for the year end.

The economy is strong as seen in job gains and retail and economic growth on the rise. If there is another cut, the Federal Reserve will need to justify their decision.

Policymakers vocalized that they will “continue to monitor” any data which would have an effect on the US economy and “act as appropriate” to retain “the country’s longest economic expansion in history.” The central bank believes these steps are necessary to keep America’s economy strong.


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Job Growth and Lower Mortgage Rates Boosting Single-Family Housing

This year the housing industry has been on an uphill victory. According to NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz newsletter, Eye on the Economy, there are two main factors that are helping the single-family housing sector.

Job growth has been on a positive path in 2019. It is reported that there is a historically low unemployment rate at 3.7%. In June 2019 there were 224,000 jobs added to the country’s workforce.

The first six month of the year saw an average of 172,000 new jobs per month.

In the residential construction industry alone the increase was 21,000 jobs in June. The average for the first six month of the year in residential construction stands at 5,800 per month. Since the recession, there have been a total of 923,800 positions added in residential construction.

Also to aid in the booming housing industry is lower mortgage rates. Freddie Mac reports that the averaging 30-year fixed-rate is 3.8%. This is the fifth straight month that mortgage rates have fallen making this one of the best times to finance a home.

A recent industry survey shows that the mortgage loan applications for both purchase and refinance surged in the first week of June 2019.

In the most recent survey put out by the Freddie Mac’s research team it states that this “will help sustain the momentum in the housing market in 2019.”

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Old Lacombe Restaurant to Re-Open as Hotel and Events Venue

La Provence was one of north shore’s dining landmarks until it closed in 2018. What was once a French restaurant, will now open as a hotel and events venue. The spot is perfect for this as it has been compared in the past to a classic French country inn.

Cayman and Danny Sinclair, brothers and local entrepreneurs, purchased the property which they plan to turn into the small hotel and events venue naming it the Inn at La Provence.


“I feel like there’s so much value in that name, it’s so recognized; it means a lot to people. It would be a shame to lose that,” said Cayman Sinclair.

The single-story building currently has several dining rooms and a “lodge-like lounge” with a

fireplace. La Provence, which was built and opened by Chris Kerageorgiou in 1972, became one of the north shore’s most respected restaurants. Well known for Kerageorgiou’s quail gumbo and braised rabbit, his lamb a la Grecque and the little pots of chicken liver pâté set down with the bread, La Provence gave residents a great place to create fond memories.

“My family would stay for hours, sitting around that fire in the front room,” he said. “It was a classic place. We’re really excited to be able to revitalize it.”


The brothers plan will be to reconfigure the existing building for the events venue and build small bungalow-style structures on the two-acre property. The 28 room hotel and events venue would be a perfect place for weddings, corporate meetings and retreats.

“We can host the event, they can stay on the property, and from here they can go to other restaurants for rehearsal dinners or their night out,” he said.

Set to open in Fall of 2019, the Inn at La Provence will also open to the public for brunch on Sundays.


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House-Passed Bill Gives First-Time Home Buyers a Break

We all know that buying a home is a big step for anyone especially for someone who is doing it for the first time. A bipartisan House bill passed at the beginning of July 2019 that will help ease the first time buyer’s anxiety over the home buying process. The bill will allow first-time home buyers to pay less closing cost if they go through homeownership counseling.

“The idea behind the legislation is that counseling should improve loan performance and make people better borrowers,” said Pete Mills, senior vice president of residential policy for the Mortgage Bankers Association, which generally supports the bill.

The Housing Financial Literacy Act applies to mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration and is a tool that can be used for first-time home buyers. Those eligible, will go

through counseling which teaches them ways to be financially responsible homeowners. Once completed, they would receive a discount on the upfront mortgage insurance that is required on FHA loans.

First-time home buyers tend to go with FHA loans because of the less-stringent requirements. Although the requirements are more lax than a conventional loan it requires more money for insurance premiums because the FHA loan is riskier. Today the delinquency rate on FHA loans is around 9% where the delinquency rate on a conventional loan is only around 3%.

The risk for the lenders on an FHA tends to be higher because a good many of the first-time home buyers using an FHA have low or moderate incomes with lower credit scores. Lenders require those using the FHA to pay mortgage insurance along with an upfront mortgage insurance premium. Currently the upfront amount paid is 1.75% of the base loan amount. If a borrower does not have the money upfront to pay the premium, the cost can be rolled into the loan. The Housing Financial Literacy Act allows a discount of 25 basis points making the premium amount 1.5% of the base loan amount instead of the 1.75%. As an example, the upfront mortgage premium on a $200,000 loan would be $3,500 but with the discount the first-time buyer would only need to pay $3,000.


Hopefully if put into law, the bill will not only help reduce cost, but also give first-time home buyers the tools to become financially responsible homeowners.

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